Republican Count for Test Poll

Carl Milsted, Jr on Nov 30 18:17:29

Originally posted October 24, 2019

We have a couple new entrants to the Republican race. Also, having too many people on the ballot makes people annoyed. So I am about to redo the database, adding the new entrants and eliminating many of the candidates from 2016. (I’ll keep some of the leading candidates form 2016 to give the Never Trumpers options.)

Anyway, here are the results from before my intended database purge:

Plurality vote totals:

Candidate Number of Votes
Donald Trump 21
Bill Weld 2
John Kasich 1
Ted Cruz 2
Marco Rubio 2
Ben Carson 3
Jeb Bush 0
Jim Gilmore 0
Carly Fiorina 0
Chris Christie 0
Rand Paul 5
Rick Santorum 0
Mike Huckabee 1
George Pataki 0
Lindsey Graham 0
Bobby Jindal 0
Scott Walker 0
Rick Perry 1
TOTAL: 38

The winner is Donald Trump with 55.263157894737% of the vote

Approval Vote Count

Approval vote totals:

Candidate Number of Votes
Donald Trump 28
Bill Weld 4
John Kasich 5
Ted Cruz 23
Marco Rubio 6
Ben Carson 13
Jeb Bush 8
Jim Gilmore 0
Carly Fiorina 1
Chris Christie 5
Rand Paul 12
Rick Santorum 5
Mike Huckabee 5
George Pataki 1
Lindsey Graham 3
Bobby Jindal 4
Scott Walker 7
Rick Perry 14
Ballots Cast: 38

The winner is Donald Trump with 73.684210526316% of the vote

Range Count

Candidate Number of Stars
Donald Trump 259
Bill Weld 120
John Kasich 139
Ted Cruz 219
Marco Rubio 141
Ben Carson 183
Jeb Bush 149
Jim Gilmore 96
Carly Fiorina 95
Chris Christie 97
Rand Paul 185
Rick Santorum 107
Mike Huckabee 140
George Pataki 97
Lindsey Graham 107
Bobby Jindal 130
Scott Walker 141
Rick Perry 191

And the winner is: Donald Trump

Instant Runoff (Ranked Choice) Counts

Instant Runoff required 1 rounds:

Round 1:

Donald Trump 21
Bill Weld 3
John Kasich 1
Ted Cruz 0
Marco Rubio 4
Ben Carson 3
Jeb Bush 0
Jim Gilmore 0
Carly Fiorina 1
Chris Christie 0
Rand Paul 4
Rick Santorum 0
Mike Huckabee 1
George Pataki 0
Lindsey Graham 0
Bobby Jindal 0
Scott Walker 0
Rick Perry 0

And the winner is: Donald Trump

Range with Runoff Count

First Round:

For the first round, we count just as in Range Voting, but we are interested in the top two candidates. If there is a tie for second place in this round, then we take the top candidate and all second place candidates to the second round.

Candidate Number of Stars
Donald Trump 259
Bill Weld 118
John Kasich 139
Ted Cruz 216
Marco Rubio 146
Ben Carson 191
Jeb Bush 146
Jim Gilmore 99
Carly Fiorina 94
Chris Christie 96
Rand Paul 184
Rick Santorum 108
Mike Huckabee 138
George Pataki 96
Lindsey Graham 102
Bobby Jindal 132
Scott Walker 139
Rick Perry 186

The following candidates make it to Round 2:

  • Donald Trump
  • Ted Cruz

Second Round:

Here are the vote counts for the second round. A candidate gets a vote if he/she has the highest number of stars in the truncated ballot. If multiple candidates get the same, highest, star count, then multiple candidates get a vote. In this sense, the second round is somewhere between Plurality and Approval.

Candidate Votes
Donald Trump 27
Ted Cruz 16

And the winner is: Donald Trump

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